Friday, November 25, 2005

Amazing

Amazing. Check this stat out. I went to Cardplayer.com. Make sure you check the O8 button. I was curious how well I played against the set of kings.

Him
[kskc6djh]
me
[2c3h4s5d]

Pre-flop equity:

Him: 63% on the high, 0% on the low.
Me: 37% on the high, 58% on the low.

Total:

Him: 36%
Me: 37%

So even pre-flop, with out anything, I am favored to win this pot against the guy. This totally blows my mind. I would never have guessed pocket pairs were so bad when they have nothing backing them up.

Now lets go to the interesting part. Where I put all my money in. The flop.

Him: 67% on the High, 0% on the low.
Me: 33% on the High, 74% on the low.

Total:

Him: 25%
Me: 33%

I am dominating him when ALL the money goes in. It again blows my mind. Ok, I am not soooooooo far ahead that I could not lose it all but not a donkey move by far.

Now the next card is a ten, but I have already committed myself. I am now a 23% to 50% dog. If I had just called the right move might be folding here. However since I already pushed this card is a moot point.

Then we hit the BINGO card, the river is my lovely 4! WOO HOO! Me: 100%. Thank you. So I guess the lesson to me on this is A) Learn the odds on Omaha-8 a little more, and B) NEVER play a hand that does not have a decent chance to scoop. The fact that his hand had no way to win except the high and hitting the K on the flop makes it a bad hand for him to play.

7 Comments:

Blogger Wes said...

I prefer to use twodimes.net when I calculate hands. Here is what I got for your referenced hand.

Your hand is better, but certainly not dominating.

12:39 PM

 
Blogger SirFWALGMan said...

Thanks. I will check it out. However, if a hand is "better" then do you push or wait? I say PUSH! heh.

12:53 PM

 
Blogger MaxSquat said...

Damn...am on a little bitty tilt myself too.....dang it....calm down Max....

anyways....yes you were favored...but excatly how do you know his hands on whether you decide to push?...We really cant huh?

2:00 PM

 
Blogger MaxSquat said...

Lets look at it from his point of view...if you were in his shoes what would you have done?....you flopped a set of Kings...flop comes AK5....a pot bet to you...your bet?...supposed flop was K35 and it is potted to you?...how would you have played your kings?

4:06 PM

 
Blogger Wes said...

First of all, I wouldn't be caught dead playing KKxx unless the xx are two wheel cards in O8.

After the flop, I would probably do what he did. The ace probably counterfeited the other person's low. Just be glad to take it down since you played that garbage.

If it were K35, I would probably bet the pot 50% of the time, and wait until the turn and then bet the pot if it comes a blank (A,3,5,9-K) and just check/call if another low card comes that doesn't pair the board the other 50%.

5:03 PM

 
Blogger Wes said...

Of course, PLO8 is definately my weakest game, so don't take my advice too seriously.

5:03 PM

 
Blogger Drizztdj said...

KKXX is garbage usually unless its to limp in with several others and all four cards are working.

8:51 AM

 

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